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Clear filtersAppLovin 3Q26: Downgrade to HOLD After the Beat
Update· PDFQ3 cleared every test I set on 10/28 and I raised the target to $378, but the stock got to $360.78, 13.3x my FY27 EBITDA and the peer median. The bull and bear cases are now about the same size.
EquitydLocal 4Q24: The Take Rate and the Merchant Question
Update· Updated 03-Sep-26Written the week DLO fell from $12.60 to $8.87 on a short report and a soft print. The take rate call was right and compression ran further than I expected. The conclusion I drew from it, that growth would stall without new merchants, was wrong.
Equity